MidLand, Jakarta – Agency of geophysical meteorology and climatology (BMKG) esteem rain in the West Java region during March and May 2024 will generally be in the medium-high category. “During the fast (Ramadan) or Eid, God willing, West Java will continue to rain,” the head of the BMKG climate station in West Java, Rakhmat Prasetia, said on Saturday, February 24, 2024.
According to him, rainfall forecasts from March to May 2024 are based on the results of rain data processing considering atmospheric dynamics at global, regional and local scales. Sea levels in Indonesian waters during the period from March to August 2024 are generally expected to be dominated by warm conditions.
“BMKG expects El Nino to continue to remain at a moderate level,” Rakhmat said. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is expected to remain neutral for the next three months.
Weather forecast monthly rainfall The BMKG climate station in West Java noted that up to 64% of the area of West Java will experience high-category rainfall in the order of 300-400 millimeters per month in March. Medium category precipitation, or about 100-300 millimeters per month, is expected to fall in 28% of other areas. The remaining 8% of areas will experience very high rainfall, exceeding 500 millimeters per month.
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Areas prone to high rainfall include Bogor, Sukabumi, Cianjur, Bandung Regency, Subang, Tasikmalaya, Ciamis, Kuningan, Sumedang, Cirebon, as well as parts of Purwakarta, Majalengka and Garut. Other areas of Majalengka and Garut are also expected to experience very high rainfall, along with the Cianjur area.
Meanwhile, low to very high rainfall is expected to persist in the West Java region in April. Later in May, precipitation in this area will be medium to high.
Based on its nature, rainfall from March to May 2024 in West Java estimated to be normal to above normal. In March, for example, most or 72% of West Java is expected to experience normal rainfall. Meanwhile, 28% is above the norm.
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